One city's house price surge

This article by Kevin Peachey of BBC News Business on October 6th, 2013 reveals data from NBS that house prices has doubled in the past 10 years.

Two cities in the UK - one is a centre of commerce, has runaway house prices, and welcomes a constant stream of overseas property buyers. The other is London.

House prices in and around Aberdeen have more than doubled in the past 10 years, according to data from the Nationwide Building Society.

That increase is only matched by the trendy north London borough of Islington, and by Westminster in the heart of the capital of the UK.

Recent figures show that Scotland's third city is recording a fresh surge in property prices. One estate agent describes the area as a property force field.

"Everywhere outside is doom and gloom, but it is boom time here," says Brian Sutton, of James and George Collie solicitors and estate agents.

Silver city
 
Take a closer look at Aberdeen, and its picturesque, shimmering granite homes, and you can see the complexity of the UK property market.

The city has demand from first-time buyers willing to pay above valuation levels, interest from workers moving to the area, investors keen to get in on the act, and a lack of homes for sale.

All this pushes up prices. Yet, in Scotland as a whole, prices are only creeping up after years of stagnation.

It shows that averages can be misleading and that local areas can have very different trends to neighbouring regions, for reasons ranging from the quality of local schools to employment levels.

It also questions a widely held belief that the London property market is unique - that soaring prices in the south-east of England are unequalled in the rest of the country.

Oil money
 
At the mouth of Aberdeen Harbour, next to the fishermen's village of Footdee, is a landmark called the Roundhouse.

The Shoremaster's accounts for 1797-98 show that more than £225 was spent on the new house and telescope on the site.

Nowadays, first-time buyers in the city can expect to pay up to £140,000 for a one-bedroom flat, or up to £500,000 for a bigger property.

Competition for homes means many buyers are paying 5% to 10% over valuation at the moment, says Bill Barclay, partner at Raeburns solicitors and estate agents.
Often sales go to sealed bids, with first-timers stretching their savings to compete with buy-to-let investors.

Spend a few minutes standing by the harbour and the reason for this active property market is clear - North Sea oil.

"It drives the local economy," says Mr Barclay. "Big companies are making long-term financial plans for the area, so we are not going to see much changing."

Overheating market?

The area was not immune to the financial crisis. Banks were not lending at the levels they had been before 2008, but Mr Barclay says Glasgow and Edinburgh suffered much more.

Now, he says - using a phrase apt for an oil-producing region - the banks are "starting to open the taps" again to fund mortgages.

Figures published by the University of Aberdeen show a 25% increase in the volume of sales in the second quarter of the year compared with the same three months in 2011. Prices were up by 5.5% in the city and its suburbs over the same period.

Sales volumes of flats were up by 53% in that time, as buy-to-let investors find the finance and predict demand from tenants
.
All this is gloomy news for potential first-time buyers. One 32-year-old tells the BBC he has been renting on the south coast of England and then Aberdeen over the past 15 years and is unable to save anything close to what is needed as a deposit.

You hardly see a sale sign erected within the city's sought-after areas, with supply low and competition picking up. But the market is far from overheating, as it was in 2007, according to estate agent Brian Sutton.

"We had people in their early 20s buying property, with 10 to 20 bidding for one property. Competition has come back, but it is three to four people bidding," he says.

"First-time buyers are in their early 30s, not their 20s, often with their parents helping."

Bubble fears?

He predicts the housing market will continue to rise at a "sustainable rate", especially as the oil companies build headquarters in the area and continue to relocate staff to the region.  

Prices may grow by single figures year-on-year, he says, but nobody wants to return to the days of 20% a year increases.

Much the same point was made by Business Secretary Vince Cable when he raised concerns about a property bubble potentially being inflated by government schemes to kick-start the market.

"In London and the south east, in the north-east of Scotland, in other areas, there are serious housing inflationary pressures," he said.

Despite his warning, the second phase of the Help to Buy scheme has been brought forward by three months in England, and the Scottish government has announced the start of its own scheme.

The UK and Scottish governments both argue that Help to Buy, which includes allowing buyers to apply for a shared equity loan for part of the property, are vital to give people the chance to secure a mortgage from risk-averse lenders.

Buyers only qualify under the Scottish scheme if they are buying a newly built property.
Critics might argue that they should encourage the developers to follow the example of the fishermen's cottages at Footdee - where the front doors face inwards to protect occupants from incoming storms.

 Article Source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24348196

Opinion Stands Divided Over UK Housing Programme

This August 26, 2013 article by Julia Werdigier of gulfnews.com reveals the ongoing debate about the help to buy scheme housing programme by the government. 

Under the plan, the government either offers interest-free credit or guarantees part of the property loan.

London: Depending on where one stands in the debate on the rising cost of housing in Britain, Paul Thomas and Abigail Walker, first-time home buyers, are either part of the solution or part of the problem.

To buy a £248,000 (Dh1.4 million) two-bedroom house in Oxfordshire, west of London, Thomas, a 38-year-old electrician, and his 25-year-old partner, Walker, who works in an accounting office, are making use of a government programme called Help to Buy. They are making a down payment of only 5 per cent from their own funds, and the government is giving them an interest-free loan to cover the other 20 per cent of the down payment.

The government of Prime Minister David Cameron has cast the programme as a way to stimulate the country’s sluggish economy by helping consumers buy homes they could not otherwise afford. But critics say it could lead to a housing bubble and a spate of problem loans on which the government could be left to make good.

Under Help to Buy, introduced in March, the government either offers interest-free credit or guarantees part of the property loan. The resulting higher demand for homes is supposed to fuel construction and aid the economic recovery.

“Help to Buy is a dramatic intervention to get our housing market moving,” George Osborne, the chancellor of the Exchequer, told Parliament in presenting the plan. “That is a good use of this government’s fiscal credibility.”

Market pick-up

But during the last month, the outcry has grown from some lawmakers and economists, who are demanding an early end for Help to Buy. They note that the housing market was already picking up and warn that the plan could create a housing bubble that would likely burst when the programme expires in 2016, while driving price increases that will make homes even less affordable for many in the meantime

Critics also question the wisdom of giving people a mortgage with a down payment of as little as 5 per cent when lenders are under pressure from regulators to reduce the riskiness of loans.

The plan as announced in March by Osborne came in two parts. The first piece, in place since April, is limited to the purchase of newly built homes. The government offers a five-year, interest-free loan for 20 per cent of the home value to put toward the down payment. Thomas and Walker are getting help through that portion of the programme.

The second and more contentious part of the plan, which is to start in January, allows anyone to buy a house with only a 5 per cent down payment. The government would then guarantee an additional 20 per cent of the bank loan for any property worth as much as £600,000, effectively passing the risk to the government from the lender.

“Using the government’s balance sheet to back these higher loan-to-value mortgages will dramatically increase their availability,” Osborne said when he presented the plan to Parliament in March.

Thomas and Walker had recently moved in with Walker’s mother in Oxfordshire to save money for a deposit, which they said would have taken them 10 years to come up with on their own.

But now they plan to move into their newly built home in the autumn. Instead of a £62,000 down payment on the purchase price of £248,000, they had to put down only £12,400. Help to Buy is coming up with the rest.

“It really put a smile on my face,” Thomas said.

Motive behind scheme

Some economists said making voters like Thomas happy was the main motive for Osborne’s plan. About two years before the next general election, and with recent opinion polls showing the opposition Labour Party neck and neck with Osborne’s Conservative Party, Osborne is betting on the housing market. Not being able to afford a home is “a blow to the most human of aspirations,” he told Parliament.

The government says the programme has been a success so far. More than 10,000 people have reserved newly built homes since April, and the number of first-time buyers was at the highest level since 2007, the government said this month.

Barratt Developments, one of Britain’s largest house builders, said sales had risen 35 per cent in the three months through the end of June, from the comparable period last year, with “a significant amount” of the upturn a result of Help to Buy.

But Britain’s housing market had already been improving. Helped by record low interest rates and demand from foreign buyers, especially in London, prices of homes nationwide rose 4.6 per cent in the three months to July, the highest annual increase since August 2010, according to the mortgage provider Halifax. In London, the increase was 8.1 per cent.

Compared with the United States or some countries in Southern Europe, Britain’s housing market downturn after the financial crisis was relatively mild. Home prices in Britain fell less steeply from their 2007 peak than those in the US because of a combination of mortgage laws and a shortage of new homes.

London home prices

Home prices have increased so much in London that the average first-time buyer now has to spend half of his net salary on mortgage payments, according to the Nationwide Building Society.

Osborne and the Bank of England’s new governor, Mark J. Carney, have rebutted criticism of the housing programme, saying Britain was still far from a housing bubble.

But behind the scenes at the Bank of England’s Prudential Regulation Authority, which is in charge of ensuring the safety of banks, there are concerns that Help to Buy conflicts with the regulator’s aim of reducing risk in the banking sector and applying stricter lending rules, according to a senior bank official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Banks that have signed up for the programme include the Lloyds Banking Group, in which the government continues to hold a stake after a bailout, along with Nationwide and Santander.

Those banks and others are in talks with the government about how much lenders will have to pay to participate in Help to Buy and how much capital the banks will have to hold for those loans.

Many economists are asking why, if banks are unwilling to take the extra risk of making such loans without government inducements, the government should be expected to backstop the programme.

Andrew Brigden, an economist at Fathom Consulting, said the programme would make it easier for banks to make riskier loans. Help to Buy is a “reckless scheme” because it “uses public money to incentivise the banks to lend precisely to those individuals who should not be offered credit,” Brigden said.

But Osborne has argued that the programme is fixing a mortgage market that has been discriminating against people who can afford the monthly mortgage payments but do not have enough savings for a down payment. Passing part of the lending risk from the banks to the government does not worry him, he said.

“Because it’s a financial transaction, with the taxpayer making an investment and getting a return,” Osborne said, “it won’t hit our deficit.”

Article Source: http://gulfnews.com/business/property/international/opinion-stands-divided-over-uk-housing-programme-1.1224135

Property Sales on the Rise in Cheltenham say Estate Agents

Good news for property buyers because property sales are prospering in Cheltenham according to this article by Gloucestershire Echo on August 14th, 2013.

PROPERTY sales are booming in Cheltenham, according to local estate agents.

There are less houses on the market than there are willing buyers, making demand for homes the highest it has been in four years.

During July, the number of potential buyers looking to enter the market nationally grew at the fastest rate in the UK since July 2009.

Since the start of the year, buyers have gradually been returning to test the market and the number of would-be buyers seen have grown.

Erling Lindoe, branch partner for RA Bennett & Partners based in Bath Road, Cheltenham, said: "Everything is wonderful.

"The housing market is booming and there are not enough properties to go around.

"If you have got a property that is priced well, it will sell, which is probably due to demand.

"Over the past four years, rents have been increasing and have caused borrowing to stay very low." With rising buyer confidence, more potential sellers looked to test the market and place their homes up for sale.

Last month, 15 per cent more respondents reported rises rather than falls in new instructions.

Mr Lindoe said: "I wasn't necessarily aware that there is a major issue in the market.

"The market in Cheltenham is a very simple case of demand and supply. Demand is currently exceeding supply which helps. But I don't see that house prices are rising at the moment."

As part of continued growth, a Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) residential market survey expects sales to rise rather than fall over the next three months.

RICS global residential director Peter Bolton King said: "These results are great news for the property market as it looks like at long last a recovery could be around the corner.

"Growth in buyer numbers and prices have been happening in some parts of the country since the beginning of the year but this is the first time that everywhere has experienced some improvement.

"It is clearly good news those parts of the property market that were struggling are at last showing some signs of life."

Article Source: http://www.thisisgloucestershire.co.uk/Property-sales-rise-Cheltenham-say-estate-agents/story-19655110-detail/story.html#axzz2c02FvAzB