Intu Properties Sees Signs of Recovery in UK

This article by eProp Commercial Property News on November 6th, 2013 tells us the signs of recovery Intu Properties see in the UK economy .

Intu Properties continues to see signs of recovery in the UK economy with a series of positive retail sales figures and improved consumer sentiment.

UK-based Intu Properties (ITU) continues to see signs of recovery in the UK economy with a series of positive retail sales figures and improved consumer sentiment‚ the JSE-listed property company said on Tuesday
Intu said in its interim management statement for the period from July 1 to November 5 that its occupancy rates for the quarter ended September remained unchanged at 95% by rent‚ including 1% of rent currently being traded by administrators.

Intu‚ which was formerly Capital Shopping Centres and which owns some of the UK’s largest malls‚ said there had been no significant tenant failures in the quarter ended September.

The company‚ which is also listed in London‚ recently introduced a nationwide consumer-facing shopping centre brand‚ also under the name Intu. It has also launched a single transactional website for its centres and is rolling out free Wi-Fi in its malls.

Intu said it signed 57 long-term leases in the quarter — in aggregate £11m of annual rent and 8% above previous passing rent. This brought the total for the year to date to 152 leases‚ producing £33m of new annual rent‚ 4% above previous passing rent. 

Five significant transactions were signed in the period to introduce flagship retailers with a view to improving the rental tone over the medium term. Excluding these strategic transactions‚ in aggregate new long-term leases were in line with valuation assumptions‚ it said.

The group said wide-ranging change in the company continued in the third quarter as it rolled out its new brand and progressed its active asset management and development pipeline.

CE David Fischel said the group continued to drive its £1bn development programme. In July it raised about £170m of new financing facilities to help fund the expenditure.

The UK retail environment had continued its gradual recovery‚ with statistics showing a 15-month unbroken trend of increasing like-for-like nonfood retail sales‚ Intu said.

It said 48 new shops had opened in its centres since June and 125 so far this year‚ which represented about 5% of its 2‚600 units. Thirty stores were undergoing shop fitting.
The 2% reduction in footfall it experienced this year was unchanged from June. 

The group was encouraged by the continuing signs of improvement in the UK consumer environment. 

“We are confident that the income forgone in the short term by our approach of holding units vacant or on flexible terms to enable a timely start on a number of projects within our £1bn development programme will be more than offset by the significant enhancement to the long-term total return of the business from these projects.”

Article Source: http://www.eprop.co.za/news/item/15811-intu-properties-sees-signs-of-recovery-in-uk.html

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Osborne Said To Be Considering Tax For Foreign Property-Buyers

This article by Amanda Banks of Tax-News Global Tax News on November 5th, 2013 reveals George Osborne has declined to reports confirming that the govt. is considering moves to foreign investors.

UK Chancellor George Osborne has declined to confirm reports that the Government is considering moves to make foreign investors pay Capital Gains Tax on property sales in Britain, as a measure to calm property prices in London.

Asked by the BBC, Osborne said that he would not comment ahead of next month's Autumn Statement, but that the reports were "not a leak that's come from anyone near me."

Currently, foreign investors are exempt from paying the tax, which is imposed on UK residents who sell a property that is not their main residence. The exemption has been described as an "extraordinary anomaly" by Vince Cable, who is the Government's Business Secretary and a member of the Coalition Government's junior partner, the Liberal Democrats.

Lucian Cook, who is Director of Residential Research at estate agency Savills, judged that move would be a "much more targeted and much less controversial solution" to property prices than a proposed Mansion Tax on the most valuable properties. However, the British Property Federation (BPF) reacted by warning that reports about the tax would cause uncertainty, and it has instead called for more homes to be built.

Estate Agency Frank Knight was quoted as saying that around 70 percent of the most expensive new London properties have gone to foreign investors, and that 65 percent of these buyers were buying properties for renting out rather than to live in. Property prices in London rose by 9 percent in August, against a national average of 2 percent.

Overseas purchasers are also thought to be responsible for house prices rises in Hong Kong, Sydney, and Vancouver. Last year, Hong Kong introduced a 15 percent stamp duty surcharge on purchases by buyers who are not permanent residents, while a senior banker in Australia recently made news by suggesting a 5 percent stamp duty surcharge for foreign buyers.

Article Source: http://www.tax-news.com/news/Osborne_Said_To_Be_Considering_Tax_For_Foreign_PropertyBuyers____62574.html 

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Hong Kong Investor Knight Dragon Takes fFull Control of UK Property Scheme for $296 Million

An interesting article by The Economic Times on November 4th, 2013 reveals the full ownership of the Hong Kong investor, Knight Dragon of the Greenwich Peninsula after paying his partner. Quintin Estates.

This article was originally by Reuters.

LONDON: Hong Kong investor Knight Dragon has taken full ownership of a development in east London's Greenwich Peninsula after paying its British partner Quintain Estates 186 million pounds ($296 million) for its 40 per cent stake.

Knight Dragon, an investment vehicle owned by New World Development Co Ltd's chairman Henry Cheng Kar-Shun, bought its 60 per cent share in the 150-acre scheme in June last year for 480 million pounds.

Asian investors have ploughed billions of pounds into central London in recent years, lured by the city's perceived safe haven appeal and the iconic nature of some of its properties.

On Friday, Singapore developer Oxley Holdings bought London's largest development site since Battersea Power Station.

The Greenwich scheme, which is near the O2 concert venue, will contain more than 10,000 homes and space for 25,000 workers along a 1.6 mile stretch of the River Thames.

Article Source: http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international-business/hong-kong-investor-knight-dragon-takes-full-control-of-uk-property-scheme-for-296-million/articleshow/25221507.cms

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Property Investors Look for Life Beyond London

This article by Art Patnaude of The Wall Street Journal on October 30th, 2013 tells us that commercial real estate investors are scouring for London property market.

London's hot property market has commercial-real-estate investors scouring the rest of Britain.

Investors all but ignored cities like Manchester, Edinburgh and Birmingham while the U.K.'s economy faltered in the years after the financial crisis. They preferred the safety of London and its appeal for global buyers. But prices for office buildings and retail space have risen so much in the capital that returns on purchases are anemic.

A London property investor last month bought the site of Edinburgh's former Royal Infirmary. A complex of offices, hotels, apartments and shops is in the works. Murdo MacLeod for The Wall Street Journal.

 

Not so in the rest of the country, where even riskier development projects are proving to be a draw. Last month, London-based property investor Moorfield Group bought the site of Edinburgh's former Royal Infirmary for an undisclosed sum from Gladedale Capital, an Edinburgh-based developer. A complex of offices, hotels, apartments and shops is in the works. Development of the project, called Quartermile, stood still for much of the financial crisis.

In the past four months, real-estate investment firm Benson Elliot has spent £100 million on property in Manchester, Cambridge and the northern town of Preston.

The trend in the U.K. mirrors what has happened in the U.S. commercial-real-estate market in the wake of the financial crisis. Investors initially started buying trophy properties in the biggest markets with the most international appeal, like New York and Washington. As prices in those markets increased, demand has shifted to other cities such as Minneapolis and Denver.

Bold Move

London's property market has long benefited from the city's status as a global capital of finance and culture. Prices are stable, there is relatively strong demand from tenants, and foreign buyers like the stability of owning an asset denominated in Britain's currency.

London's appeal as a safe harbor rose during the financial crisis, and prices have continued to climb since then despite new construction. Increasingly, the city's lack of affordable options and low returns are turning investors' focus to areas they had largely ignored.

In 2012, deals outside London accounted for about 40% of all commercial property investment in the U.K. In the first half of this year, that figure edged up to nearly 50%, according to Savills, a real-estate services firm.

The largest deal in Leeds this year was the £29 million sale of the Toronto Square office complex. At the time of the sale in August, it was 20% vacant. With a net initial yield of 7%, "a year ago, this wouldn't have been an attractive proposition," said Clare Bailey, commercial property analyst at Savills.

High demand and low returns in London are "forcing people to see what can be done in the regions," said Edward Trevillion, head of real-estate research at fund manager Scottish Widows Investment Partnership, which manages £146 billion ($235 billion) of assets.

During the financial crisis, investors placed their bets in London, which is less subject to fluctuations in the U.K. economy. Many worried the economic downturn could hurt occupancy levels outside the capital.

Vacancy rates in U.K. offices jumped to 15.8% in 2009, after dropping as low as 7.1% in 2007, according to Savills. They are on the way back: Savills projects the rate to fall to 11.5% next year.

Investors looking for higher yields are focusing on places like Edinburgh, where a complex is being built on the site of the former Royal Infirmary. Scotsman/Zuma Press.

 

Confidence that a growing economy will help bolster businesses outside London has helped swing real-estate investment. While some regions are outperforming others, "all regions are sharing to some degree in the current U.K. economic recovery," said Richard Holt, regional economist at Capital Economics. The U.K. economy is expected to expand 1.5% this year, the firm projects; Scotland is expected to post 1.3% growth.

Peripheral cities is offer larger yields to commercial-property investors, who typically raise funds to buy a property and earn a yield on their investment through rents.

In London, rising prices have left yields low. In the city's financial district, the yield on office buildings peaked in January 2009 at 6.75%, not far under the 7% for property outside the capital, according to Savills. As of last month, the London yield had fallen to 4.75%; outside the capital it had only dropped to 5.75%.

Marc Gilbard, chief financial officer at Moorfield, which has £2 billion under management, said that while investors have pushed out to the regions before, this time around has been "particularly acute." That is partly due to foreign buyers seeking to buy real estate in central London as a place to park their money, he said.

There are others signs that money is flowing back outside London. Stephen Rees, head of real-estate advisory at Coutts, the private bank used by Queen Elizabeth, says competition for deals has stiffened.

On a recent commercial deal in Edinburgh, Mr. Rees—who was looking to buy the property on behalf of a wealthy client—said three of the four bidders were institutional investors. "I wasn't expecting that," Mr. Rees said. "That wouldn't have been the case the previous summer."

Investors say they still need to be cautious of occupancy levels, the reliability of tenants and the health of local economies. "You want that rent coming in every month," said Ainslie McLennan, fund manager for Henderson U.K. Property Unit Trust.

Basing an investment decision on U.K. economic-growth figures also needs to be more closely considered, said Marc Mogull, manager partner at Benson Elliot, which has €850 million of equity under management "You're not going to see fundamental growth in the regions like what you'll see in London," he said.

Article Source: http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303471004579163561521996776

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London Property Market Goes from Strength to Strength

This article by David Shuker of Prudential on October 23th, 2013 shows figures that property market in London is riding in the crest of a wave at the moment.

The London property market is currently riding the crest of a wave, with prices having risen dramatically in some boroughs over the last few weeks.

In Kensington and Chelsea and Westminster, for instance, asking prices have climbed by 12% in just one month.

What's more, prices in these boroughs have jumped by as much as 30% over the past year.

Miles Shipside of Rightmove remarked: "Some agents currently report a buying frenzy in parts of prime inner London, with available stock so low that their shelves are now bare.

"Unsurprisingly, many of this month's best performers are boroughs in inner London."

Earlier this month, the EY Item Club, one of the country's leading economic forecasters, said that there is minimal risk of another bubble developing in the UK housing market.

The body speculated that government schemes would lead to a 3.5% boost in houses prices this year and 6.6% in 2014.

Article Source: http://www.pru.co.uk/guides_tools/articles/801652378-London-property-/

'Unsustainable' 10% Surge in London House Prices Smashes Previous High Amid 'Buying Frenzy'

This article by Matt West of This is Money.co.uk reveals a report that showed house prices in London are rising in some regions but at below the rate of inflation.

House prices in London are rising at 'unsustainable levels with the average asking up now £30,000 higher than their previous July peak, a report showed today.

Property website Rightmove said the onset of autumn saw national average asking prices rebound by 2.8 per cent in October - reversing September's 2.8 per cent decline - and rise 3.8 per cent on the same time last year. The average property was worth £252,418, up almost £7,000 in a month from £245,495 in September, the website said.

But in London, after the summer lull saw a slight drop in properties being listed for sale and slight price falls, new seller numbers surged 15 per cent while asking prices shot up 10.2 per cent in October.

Patchy: House prices are rising in some regions but at below the rate of inflation while in other regions they have fallen

The average asking price in the capital is now 5.6 per cent or £28,852 above July’s record of £515,379, equivalent to an average growth rate of 2 per cent a month over the past quarter.

And with affordability in London stretched to near breaking point, Rightmove said the second phase of the Government’s Help to Buy scheme was likely to have little impact on the lives of ordinary Londoners. 

Buyers in the capital were already facing income challenges that would restrict their borrowing capabilities rather than difficulties finding a deposit, the website said.

Average prices in outer London of £461,937 are more than double those in the rest of England and Wales at £226,861. But average wages are around 60 per cent higher in the capital, meaning Londoners are struggling to service ever increasing mortgage debt.

Elsewhere in the country, two regions  - Wales and the West Midlands - recorded a fall in average prices in October. House prices in five other regions - the North, North West, Wales, West Midlands and the South West - remained lower than a year ago.

Rebound: After falling for two consecutive months during the summer lull, house prices have begun to rise again 

Seven in ten regions saw house price rises that lagged behind inflation. Only London, the South East and East Midlands saw house prices rise by more than retail price inflation of 3.2 per cent . 

The South East remains the natural recipient of increased demand given the extreme supply shortages in London.

Asking prices rose 2.3 per cent in October although they remained 2.1 per cent behind the peak of £330,612 achieved in July this year.

Rightmove director Miles Shipside said: 'Fewer sellers coming to market in the capital during the traditional summer recess resulted in total price falls of 4.3 per cent over August and September. 

'However, this month’s rebound in the number of sellers brings the quarterly growth figure back into line with the recent trend at around 2 per cent a month. 

'Although not sustainable in the longer term, some agents currently report there is a buying frenzy in parts of prime inner London, with available stock so low that their shelves are now bare.

Capital trends: Some estate agents currently report there is a buying frenzy in parts of prime inner London, with available stock so low that their shelves are now bare

'Unsurprisingly, many of this month’s best performers are boroughs in inner London.'

He added London needed to see an increase in housing supply to meet heightened demand which would only come from more houses being built and more owners putting properties on the market. 

Rightmove said the situation in London was exacerbated by overseas investor demand swallowing up much of the new-build supply, adding to shortages and creating upwards price pressure.

Mr Shipside said: 'London is a world city where overseas investors see real estate as a safe asset, at a time when safe assets are increasingly scarce, and developers are building and marketing a lot of one and two-bedroom flats to meet that demand. 

'While they can achieve volume sales at premium prices, this eats up a much-needed source of fresh supply and drags up existing property prices at an even faster rate.'

The Rightmove house price report is the latest in a long line showing significantly higher activity in the housing market.

Last week, the Council of Mortgage Lenders said lending in the three months to the end of September rose at the fastest rate in five years.

Prices

Article Source: http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/mortgageshome/article-2465958/London-property-market-seeing-buying-frenzy-says-Rightmove.html

Property Forecasts Predict A Positive Future For UK

This article by Les Calvert of property-abroad.com on October 15th, 2013 reveals the prediction of a positive future for UK property according to property forecasts.

With the property market outlook indicating a positive trend, we are in for a season of good growth forecasts. BNP Paribas' forecast for instance has recently predicted fairly impressive rental growth in just about every sector by 2016. The same forecast predicts 2015 as the best year for the office and retail sector with the prediction of a somewhat less than 12 percent return.

Current real estate situation 

The earlier forecasts have proven correct, and the trends seem likely to continue. The pricing and rental demand are forecast to grow because of the lack of occupational supply. In addition, further investments in the region around London will continue because of the inherent strengthen of the region.

Of the total UK investments so far, 47 percent has taken place in Central London alone which accounts for more than £12bn. Of this investment in total, nearly two thirds was invested in the office sector, while investment in mixed use asset constituted about 20 percent. In addition, the transaction volumes have been bolstered by overseas demand. 

Nearly 50 percent of investments in central London could be attributed to the buyers from outside the region, while the far eastern buyers contributed nearly one fifth of the total investment.

Foreign investors have also invested nearly one third of the investments made outside of London. The total investment outside London is nearly £14bn. North Americans, Middle Easterners and the Europeans are popular buyers in the UK property market.

Predictions for 2013

There are several predictions for the current year. It is expected that there will be a slight improvement in the total investment volume this year. Last year, it was £33.5bn, which could go up to around £35.5bn this year.

According to Claire Higgins, BNP Paribas Real Estate head, this year London is expected to finish its performance at the top level. The total returns from central London retail is expected to be highest this year at 13 percent, while city offices will most likely perform at around 8.7 percent with West End offices returning around 10 percent. The 2013 forecast for all property is likely to be 6.6 percent, while industrial return is expected to be 7.3 percent.

In other words, there is overall optimism for 2013 in real estate investment which it is expected will continue throughout the coming year ahead. At this rate it is expected that the peak of 2008 could possibly be surpassed shortly with much of the momentum building up in 2013.

Future forecasts 

The future forecasts indicate a bright prospect with the next five years up to 2017 leading to the national recovery. The other markets too will be driven to catch up with London. Strong returns are expected by the south-east offices. Shopping centers and logistics will follow the south east office sector closely.

The growth momentum comes from the U. K’s economic position which currently looks brighter and there is little likelihood of the momentum sliding back in the short term. The current growth trend of the U.K appears better than some other countries, while the output is yet to catch up with the peak of pre-recession years. However, the UK economy is still behind France, and other nations like U.S and Germany.

It may be interesting to note that between 2008 and 2013, the UK real estate industry claimed to be the third most productive. The first two were transport equipment followed by services.

Written by Les Calvert writer of Overseas Property news

Article Source: http://www.property-abroad.com/england/news-story/property-forecasts-predict-a-positive-future-for-uk-19317795/

London Wealthy Leave for Country Life as Prices Rise

This article by Patrick Gower of Bloomberg on October 14th, 2013 reveals how wealthy left London to be living in a country life when house prices rise.

It took more than a year for Mark Hudson to find his six-bedroom home in the English countryside. Within weeks of moving in, he got a bid that topped the 1.75 million pounds ($2.8 million) the property cost.

“Somebody called offering a significantly higher sum,” said Hudson, a 55-year-old manager at a publishing company, who in August swapped his home in Clapham, a London district favored by young bankers and lawyers, for Dorset, the farm-dotted county 125 miles (202 kilometers) southwest of London that was the setting for Thomas Hardy’s Tess of the D’Urbervilles. “It looks like we caught it just at the right time,” he said.

Country homes are coming back into fashion, after lagging behind urban locations such as London’s West End since the 2007 financial crisis when banks cut off mortgages. Prices for manor houses, farmhouses and cottages valued at more than 750,000 pounds climbed at the fastest rate in more than three years in the third quarter, Knight Frank LLP said in a report today, as Prime Minister David Cameron makes reviving the housing market central to his efforts to pull the economy out of recession.

“It’s U.K. economic growth and broader housing-market confidence,” said Liam Bailey, global head of residential research at the London-based property broker.

The government last week introduced the second phase of its Help to Buy program, which offers mortgage guarantees that allow purchases with down payments as low as 5 percent. The first phase, which began in April, provided interest-free loans for buyers of newly built homes. The program has contributed to the strongest housing market since the financial crisis, even as two thirds of 31 economists surveyed by Bloomberg described it as “bad” policy.

Bigger Appetite 

“Help to Buy has obviously been a catalyst that has encouraged people,” Bailey said by phone. “It’s stimulated appetite to get into the market and that’s not only the lower-end first-time buyers -- it’s right through into the prime sector.”

In July, homebuyers took out 3,900 loans of 500,000 pounds or more, the most since September 2007, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders. There’s also more willingness to lend at higher loan-to-value ratios, according to Henry Knight, managing director at mortgage broker Springtide Capital Ltd.
 
Two years ago, Barclays Plc (BARC)’s Woolwich unit, Nationwide Building Society and Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LLOY)’s Halifax “stopped agreeing mortgages for more than about 1 million pounds, but now they’ve moved up to 2 million pounds and some have gone to 3 million,” Knight said by phone. “There are just more lenders playing in that market now.”

Prime Country 

Knight Frank’s prime country-house index, based on data from the firm’s U.K. branches, shows that prices rose 0.8 percent in the third quarter from the previous three months. Gains were led by Virginia Water, Berkhamsted and Cobham, just outside London. Prices climbed 0.4 percent on an annual basis.

The measure includes manor houses, defined by Knight Frank as a large property standing in extensive grounds; farmhouses, which typically have six bedrooms and several acres of land including garden, paddock and barns; and cottages, which normally have four bedrooms and about an acre of land.

While demand for properties within commuting distance of London was strongest, prime country homes in every region of England climbed for the first time in two-and-a-half years during the quarter, according to a reported published by Savills Plc (SVS) last week.

“This is your last chance to buy before stock goes down and prices really start to rise,” Yolande Barnes, director of residential research at the London-based broker, said by phone.

Queen’s Castle 

Current offerings of theirs include Park Place, an eight-bedroom period house on the edge of Windsor Great Park with cottages and stables on about 15 acres. The property, about an hour’s walk from Queen Elizabeth II’s Windsor Castle and close to English private school Eton College, is priced at 20 million pounds.

Savills, along with Hamptons International, is also selling Bayfields Farm, a country house in Hampshire, about 30 miles from Highclere Castle, where TV show “Downton Abbey” is filmed, for 2 million pounds.

The value of U.K. luxury homes had plunged in the wake of the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and the ensuing credit freeze and recession. Average prices of homes in London’s most expensive neighborhoods fell 25 percent in 2008, while those in the countryside fell 20 percent, Knight Frank’s Bailey said.

Mortgages of more than 500,000 pounds to home buyers dropped by almost 50 percent between 2007 and 2008, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders.

Affluent Foreigners 

London’s property market began to recover in 2009, in part because of affluent foreigners seeking a haven from turmoil in the Middle East and the wider European debt crisis.

These buyers, attracted by mansions a short walk from Harrods and Buckingham Palace, helped push the price of luxury homes in central London up 23 percent since their last peak in Autumn 2007. Prices of prime country homes remain down 20 percent, according to Knight Frank.

Now the recovery is spreading beyond London. The number of homes sold in the U.K. reached the most in nearly four years in July, according to the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors. That helped push the value of prime country homes up for the third consecutive quarter, Knight Frank said. House prices in affluent areas about an hour from London climbed 1.6 percent during the three months, while those in the remainder of the south of England climbed 1.2 percent, according to Savills.

Homebuilders Rise 

U.K.’s homebuilders have been among the biggest beneficiaries of revived housing demand, with an index of the companies gaining 47 percent this year, compared with the 10 percent advance for the FTSE 100 Index. Persimmon Plc (PSN), the largest U.K. builder by market value, rose the most in almost two months on Oct. 9 after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) said the stock may increase by 70 percent within six months.

Homebuilders are increasing productivity to satisfy new demand, which may be a mixed blessing for country estates.

“Prices are moving up against a background of four years of low supply in the country-house market,” Bailey said. “If this positive sentiment pulls in more supply, that will hang a question mark over the sustainability of this growth.”

For Hudson, waiting to sell his London home proved fortunate as prices rose in the capital, while he said they fell last year where he was looking.

“You’d see a house listed and a few months later it would still be on the market and the price had dropped,” Hudson said. “When we finally bought it was more of a lifestyle choice, we were never sure it was going to be a good investment.”

After selling the home in Clapham for 1.3 million pounds, with an extra 475,000 pounds he could afford the six-bedroom country house with a cottage, swimming pool and eight acres of land.

“I had a feeling the time was right and London’s housing market was coming to a peak,” he said. “Maybe I was wrong on that point, because in fact that peak seems to go on getting higher and higher.”

Article Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-13/london-wealthy-leave-for-country-life-as-prices-rise.html

Help to Buy Has No Safeguards to Ensure the North Feels the Benefit Too

This article by Graham Jones of The Northener Blog on October 10th, 2013 tells us that constituent's tax should not be used to give a leg-up to bankers who want a 95% mortgage on a £600,000 London townhouse.

This week the government launched the second part of the Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme – the means by which the state will guarantee 15% of the deposit on a mortgage.

The government claims this will help people who can't save for a deposit to get onto the housing ladder. Critics – everyone else from financiers to economists to housing specialists – claim it will create a new and unsustainable housing bubble; subprime lending that was the cause of the banking collapse.

For someone struggling to save, a reduced deposit is an easier route to home ownership.

But this has to be about more than one mortgage. It has to consider the cumulative impact and the colossal risks that brings to government finances should it all go wrong.

But the aspect of the policy I find particularly interesting is the huge and conflicting disparities between the housing markets in and around London, and much of the north of England; in particular in very low demand areas such as my constituency, Accrington. A quick glance at current average house prices on Prime Location shows a gigantic disparity between London (average price £491,000 – predicted to rise to £500,000 by the end of the year) and Lancashire (£141,000 to £157,000, depending exactly where).

The policy therefore runs the risk of pumping far more money into already super-heated housing markets in London simply by virtue of the cost of properties there. The policy has no mechanism to ensure a geographical allocation of the guarantees – there is nothing to prevent the majority of the £12bn being spent on fewer, more expensive mortgages.

Even in Lancashire this high bracket has seemingly perverse consequences – the £600,000 upper limit could purchase a very large property indeed. It is possible to buy five-bedroom properties with significant land with room for stables and horses. Should the hard-pressed taxpayer support the wealthy of Lancashire?

As the Guardian itself warned this week, City bankers were holding off buying a property and getting 95% mortgages instead in order to free up cash that would otherwise be locked into a property through the deposit. I do not think city bankers and those hoping to bump themselves up the ladder (up to a potential £600,000 house!) are particularly the people that we ought to be focusing on when it comes to housing aspiration – and it certainly wasn't the way the policy was sold to the public. My hard-pressed constituents are paying into a pool of money which could be being used to guarantee the mortgage of someone who gets very highly paid so they can buy a £600,000 house.

The reason we have low demand in East Lancashire is in part due to the economy, but that in turn is partly due to the housing market: we have an oversupply of houses that people don't want to live in (many of which as a result stand empty, boarded up). If the government wanted to improve the housing prospects of first-time buyers they would focus on building new houses across the country. £12bn to prop up mortgages could be spent to massively open up supply and build hundreds of thousands of new dwellings.

I hope this policy works for the people who take part in it, and anything that helps (or could help, as long as the budget isn't swallowed up on a smaller number of expensive properties) young people should be welcomed – however it is a short-term solution to the problem of undersupply of housing in parts of the country, and undersupply of quality properties in others.

My constituents' tax is being used to guarantee these mortgages – they ought to benefit from it (I hope the Treasury is at least monitoring where the money is going, though I am not optimistic). There are better policies the government could have pursued, but this is the one they chose – the least they could do is guarantee my constituents have an equal opportunity to take part.

• Graham Jones is the Labour MP for Haslingden and Hyndburn

Article Source: http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/the-northerner/2013/oct/10/help-to-buy-scheme-north-safeguards

The Cost of Renting in the UK is Nearly at a Record High

This article by the Landlord Expert on October 4th, 2013 tells us that private rents are just £1 short of record highs as an effect of rising house prices on rental market.

The lettings network LSL Property Services said rents had reached their second highest level since 2008 - largely because of a shortage of property to buy as Government schemes help people onto the ladder.

LSL, which owns the Your Move and Reeds Rains chains, reported that at £743 on average, monthly rents in August were just £1 less than the all-time high recorded in October 2012.

The pace of rent increases stepped up to 0.7% month-on-month in August.

It said rents were 1.3% higher across England and Wales than a year ago - less than half the rate of inflation - but London's rental market was soaring.

At £1,126 typically, rents in the capital have risen at a much faster rate than inflation and are up by 4.8% year-on-year.

Earlier this week, official figures showed that house prices in London were up by nearly 10% year-on-year , indicating the strength of demand.

Wales saw the second biggest annual increase in rents, with a 2.3% uplift taking average rents to £561.

The South East recorded the strongest month-on-month growth, with a 2% rise pushing monthly rents to £762.

By contrast, rents in Yorkshire and the Humber are 1.6% lower than last year, at £536 typically, followed closely by a 1.5% annual fall in the North West, taking average rents to £582.

The North East saw the biggest month-on-month drop in rents, with a 0.8% fall taking average rents to £523.

Across the country, rental inflation had been cooling off for much of this year following the launch of Government schemes to give people with low deposits a chance to buy.

First-time buyer numbers have reached their highest levels in more than five years following the initiatives such as Funding for Lending and Help to Buy, which have widened access to mortgages and allowed some people who were previously trapped in renting to break free.

But David Newnes, director of LSL Property Services, said that weak income growth, which has an impact on households' ability to borrow, and a lack of housing supply meant that the private rental sector was continuing to see strong demand from new tenants.

Mr Newnes said: "Better availability of finance has allowed some households to leave the rental market. And rents certainly felt the short-term impact of that.

"But releasing a blast of pent-up pressure to buy a home is unlikely to change the long-term trend in renting.

"Although Government schemes are helping, buying a first home is still extremely hard on the back of low salary growth."

 Article Source: http://www.landlordexpert.co.uk/index.php/news-centre/6222.html

U.K. Mortgage Approvals Rise to Highest Since 2008

This article by Eshe Nelson by Bloomberg on September 30th, 2013 reveals the highest increase of mortgage approvals in the UK as the Help to Buy scheme prepares to accelerate.

U.K. mortgage approvals rose to the highest in more than five years in August as the government prepares to accelerate a home-buying program that’s been criticized for potentially over-stimulating the market.

Lenders granted 62,226 mortgages, the most since February 2008, compared with a revised 60,914 the previous month, the Bank of England said in a monthly report in London today.

The improvement in home-loan growth contrasts with business lending, which fell the most in eight months in August.

Hometrack said today house prices rose the most in more than six years this month and Prime Minister David Cameron yesterday brought forward by three months the second phase of his “Help to Buy” mortgage plan, saying it will start within days. The program has drawn criticism it may help fuel a property bubble, prompting the government last week to give the Bank of England the power to perform annual checks on it.

There is a “continued divergence across the household and the corporate sectors,” said Jens Larsen, chief European economist at RBC Capital Markets in London. “This picture will remain a worrying one for the Bank of England. While most commentators are focused on the risk of an overextended household sector, the bank is likely to concentrate its effort on improving credit to the corporate sector.”

The number of mortgage approvals exceeded the 61,500 figure that was the median estimate of 20 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Net mortgage lending rose 974 million pounds ($1.57 billion) in August, the central bank said. Consumer credit increased 577 million pounds.

Company Lending

Business lending fell 3.8 billion pounds in August from July, the most since December and more than three times the average decline over the past six months. Lending is down 3.6 percent compared with a year earlier. For small- and medium-sized companies, lending has fallen 3.2 percent over the past year, according to the BOE.

“These figures are extremely disappointing, and show that Britain’s business finance system remains broken,” said Adam Marshall, director of policy at the British Chambers of Commerce. “While bigger and older companies can get finance when they need it, many young, dynamic, and fast-growing businesses are still frozen out.”

The pound rose 0.1 percent against the dollar today and was trading at $1.6161 as of 11:32 a.m. London time. The benchmark 10-year government bond yield was down 2 basis points at 2.69 percent.

Help to Buy

The BOE also said foreign investors sold a net 6 billion pounds of gilts in August, the most since June 2012. That followed a net purchase of 1.3 billion pounds in July. It said M4, a broad measure of money supply, rose 0.7 percent in August from July and increased 2.1 percent from a year earlier.

According to the Hometrack report, house prices in England and Wales rose 0.5 percent in September after a 0.4 percent gain in August. Annual price inflation accelerated to 2.4 percent. Prices rose in nine of 10 regions tracked by Hometrack. London led gains, with a 0.8 percent increase.

The first phase of Help to Buy -- interest-free loans for buyers of newly built homes -- began in April and has already contributed to the strongest housing market since the financial crisis. The second will provide government-guaranteed mortgages for buyers with a deposit of as little as 5 percent of the value of a home costing as much as 600,000 pounds.

With the plan facing criticism, Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne has downplayed risks of a property bubble, saying the housing market outside London remains weak. While the BOE has said property activity remains below its historic average, it will be “vigilant” to any risks.

“There is a mounting danger that house prices could really take off,” said Howard Archer, an economist at IHS Global Insight in London. “It is therefore of vital importance that policy makers closely monitor the situation and are prepared to act quickly and decisively if signs of the housing market overheating become increasingly widespread and pronounced.”

 Article Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-30/u-k-mortgage-approvals-rise-to-highest-since-2008.html

London Housing Crisis: How Would Labour Fix It?

This article by Dave Hill of theguardian on September 29th, 2013 reveals the ongoing debate that is taking place about the capital's particular housing problems behind the scenes since Ed Miliband's conference speech offered big policy ideas, but was short on detail.

The housing element of Ed Miliband's Labour conference speech was greeted by the wiser commentators with a mixture of disappointment, puzzlement and hope. Colin Wiles pointed out that despite that heavily-trailed pledge to be building 200,000 new homes a year by 2020 if Labour wins in 2015, only a few words of the Labour leader's oration were devoted to housing. He quoted all 212 of them in full, and so will I:

So we'll say to private developers, you can't just sit on land and refuse to build. We will give them a very clear message - either use the land or lose the land, that is what the next Labour government will do. We'll say to local authorities that they have a right to grow, and neighbouring authorities can't just stop them. We'll identify new towns and garden cities and we'll have a clear aim that by the end of the parliament Britain will be building 200,000 homes a year, more than at any time in a generation.

What do these words really amount to and how much encouragement should London, with its distinctive and growing clamour of housing troubles, draw from them?

As I wrote just before Miliband got to his feet in Brighton, the capital could be needing about half of those 200,000 when and if the Labour leader becomes prime minister, suggesting that the target isn't nearly big enough for either London or the UK as a whole. Or Britain. Or England. Jules Birch joined Wiles in wondering precisely which bits of the British Isles Miliband was applying the 200,000 figure to. For Lynsey Hanley the speech was a mere step forward when what's required is a giant leap.

However, both Birch and Wiles found some encouragement in those few dozen words. And their poverty of detail belies the scope of debate in Labour circles about housing policy, not least as it would apply in London should Miliband enter Number 10 and a Labour mayor - Jowell? Khan? Lammy? Adonis? - take command of City Hall in 2016.

There is a strong desire to clamp down on the scandal of land banking for massive profit in London at a time when the housing shortage is critical and overcrowding rife. Shelter's Roger Harding says here that the GLA reckons about half the hoarded sites in the capital aren't even owned by property developers, but by hedge funds and banks with no intention of building so much as a garden shed on them.

We already knew shadow London minister Sadiq Khan is giving some thought to if it's time for a land value tax, which could put a big break on speculation, and I'm told he has found the Smith Institute's case for a property speculation tax "very interesting".

Miliband's "use it or lose it" line on this had right-wing pundits howling about totalitarian state "theft" but even prominent London Tories are calling for radical remedies. In June, Conservative London Assembly member Tony Arbour asked for "the problem of land banking" to be dealt with by boroughs demanding that planning consents set a date for the plan's completion. Boris Johnson himself re-affirmed during the same debate that he is prepared to make greater use of compulsory purchase orders to deal with the "pernicious" phenomenon.

Labour policy thinkers are also putting their minds to devising a concept of "affordable" housing that isn't outright laughable, as is the case with the government's malfunctioning "affordable rent" ploy. How should "affordable" be defined? Who should decide?

There is, it seems, broad agreement that a "fairly high" percentage of the new homes Labour would want built in London would be for social rent as conventionally understood.

On the private rented sector it isn't only Khan who likes Newham council's accreditation scheme for private landlords. Shelter's proposal for inflation-linked, five-year stable rental contracts appears much admired as a better way of limiting rent increases and improving tenant insecurity than old-style rent controls, though the party hasn't yet worked out whether or not it thinks these should be statutory.

Miliband has asked the former BBC Trust chair Sir Michael Lyons to look into ways to to prevent precious land being left unused while its owners idly watch its value mount. Sir Michael will also consider the development of those "new towns and garden cities", a good percentage of which would very likely be within easy commuting reach of the capital. How times have changed. The New Towns built in London's orbit after the last war - Stevenage, Crawley, Basildon and so on - spoke to a readiness among Londoners to leave a smogged, bomb-ravaged London behind. The new New Towns would be in part a response to more and more people wanting to be here.

I'm told that firmer Labour proposals for housing in London will emerge in the coming months. Dare we hope they will be bold?

Article Source: http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/davehillblog/2013/sep/29/how-would-labour-solve-london-housing-crisis

London House Prices Rise by 9.7% Another Fears of New Property Bubble

This article by Vicky Shaw of The Independent on September 17th, 2013 reveals of another increase in London house prices by 9.7% that may led to fears of another property bubble.

House prices in London have risen by nearly 10% in the last year, adding to signs of a sharp north-south divide in the market.

A 9.7% increase in prices in London over the year to July helped to push the value of homes across England to a new high of £255,000 on average, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.

House prices in London and the South East both raced past their 2008 peaks and stood at an average of £438,000 and £303,000 respectively, while prices in the East of England and the South West also edged close to their previous highs.

But the UK market was still patchy and while house prices were up by 3.7% year-on-year in England they dropped by 2% in Scotland and 0.7% in Wales.

Prices in Northern Ireland were up by 1.8% year-on-year as the market showed signs of starting a slow recovery after some sharp falls following the economic downturn.

The annual pace of house price inflation picked up across the UK in July to its fastest rate recorded in 2013 so far at 3.3%, taking values to £245,000 on average. Prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month.

Concerns have mounted in recent weeks that Government initiatives to kick-start the housing market such as Funding for lending and Help to Buy are in danger of creating a property bubble, with borrowers over-stretching themselves as access to low-deposit deals returns.

Last week, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics) suggested that a 5% cap should be placed on annual house price growth to stop any future house price bubble and borrowers taking on too much debt for fear of missing out on a boom.

Matthew Pointon, property economist at consultancy Capital Economics, described London as a "special case", with prime central London in particular seen as a safe haven for overseas buyers to place their cash. He said some areas of London are seeing "bold behaviour" from buyers.

In the short term, a shortage of homes on the market in London is likely to spell further price gains in the capital, he predicted.

Peter Rollings, chief executive at London-based estate agents Marsh & Parsons, described the London market as telling "a different story" to the rest of the UK.

He said: "The huge demand for property in the most desirable parts of the capital, from both UK and overseas buyers, is helping to push prices higher.

"In the three months to June, we recorded 11% more buyers entering the market in competition for 14% fewer properties. Property is changing hands in record time and for close to the asking price."

At £132,000 on average, house prices in Northern Ireland are still 49% below a previous peak recorded in 2007. Prices in Scotland are around £182,000 and are sitting 6% below their previous high, which was recorded in 2008.

House prices in Wales are 7% below their 2008 peak, and currently stand at £160,000 on average.

Richard Sexton, director of e.surv chartered surveyors, warned that rising house prices in some areas threaten to price some people trying to get on the property ladder out of the market at a time when households are still under pressure from high inflation and stagnant wages.

He said: "If the Government wants to make housing more affordable - and avoid inflating another property bubble - then it needs to encourage more house building."

Housing Minister Mark Prisk said: "New housing supply is at its highest level since 2008, with 334,000 new homes built in England over the past three years, including 150,000 affordable homes.

"Over the coming months we will unlock construction for thousands of new homes at stalled sites, and our £1 billion Build to Rent fund will help build a bigger, better private rented sector with more choice and quality for people in the housing market."

Article Source: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/london-house-prices-rise-by-97-sparking-fears-of-new-property-bubble-8822383.html

Prime Property Prices in Central London Up 116% in Last 8 Years

Research shows that in the past 8 years prime Central London house prices have more than doubled and it is up by 116% outpacing the RPI by 86%, according to this recent article on September 11th, 2013 of the Property Wire.

Prime central London house prices have more than doubled in the past eight years, up by 116 and outpacing the Retail Price Index by 86%, new research shows.


By contrast the average UK property price is 19.3% down on the same period, according to the research from Savills which tracks the expansion of the market since its indices were launched in 1979 and analyses in detail the performance of different locations in the latest market cycle.

It shows that prime central London property prices have grown on average 4.9% per annum since 1979.  This compares to just 3.6% above inflation across greater London and a UK average of 2.9%, opening the gap between prime London and the rest to its widest ever.

Mayfair tops the growth chart with growth of 139% since the middle of 2005, followed by Knightsbridge, Belgravia and Chelsea with growth of at least 128%.  All are now at least 30% above peak.

The analysis points out that supply has failed to keep pace with demand, resulting in an expansion of prime London from its Belgravia core in the 1950s to a swathe that runs from Richmond in the south west to Islington in the north, from Chiswick in the west to Canary Wharf in the east.

‘London is seen as one of the premier world cities in which to both live and invest. London’s economy has been put at nearly a third the size of that of the whole of the UK. Like other global cities, London attracts capital from around the world,’ said Yolande Barnes, head of world residential research.

She pointed out that the demand catchment for London housing is therefore global and the appetite for investment remains strong. Also London is physically limited in size and by very low levels of new supply so real house prices have risen much faster  than elsewhere.

‘London is a honey pot for wealthy real estate buyers but many of these buyers also live and work in London. It would seem that London’s housing market is inextricably tied with its economic success but it has been failing for some time to increase supply at a sufficient rate to curb price growth,’ explained Barnes.

This means that the lack of housing supply is playing out most visibly in London’s prime housing markets where the wealthiest home owners can compete most effectively for space.

Looking forward, the analysis suggests that the strength of outer London prime markets will be dictated by the creation of new wealth from the London economy and the flows of wealth between prime markets.

The report says that generally, over the next five years, London and the south east are expected to lead the economic recovery in the UK. In London, the economic growth from the all important financial and insurance sector is likely to be on a par with the average for the capital. The highest economic growth is forecast from the professional scientific and technical and information and communication sectors.

‘These sectors will, like financial services before them, also attract international investment and human capital which is expected to be reflected in overseas demand for housing. This is likely to widen the profile of buyers and support underlying housing demand for prime property beyond central London,’ it points out.

It also suggests that an increased proportion of prime demand is likely to be focused on the commuter zone given the gap between pricing in these markets and prime domestic London.

‘We expect to see a continued displacement of wealth from the prime central London markets into other parts of prime London and beyond. The markets in closest proximity to prime central London will see continued overseas buying activity, mainly from full time residents in the capital. This means the prime central London and other prime markets will remain linked,’ adds the report.

Article Source: http://www.propertywire.com/news/europe/london-prime-property-analysis-201309118224.html

Region’s Buy-To-Let Property Boom Will Last

According to the reports by Knighht Knox International, a leading property firm, the buy-to-let property boom is here for the long haul as shown on this article by lep.co.uk on August 22, 2013.

The buy-to-let property boom is here for the long haul, reports leading property firm Knight Knox International.

The North West is one of the best-perfoming areas, with Manchester and Liverpool particularly buoyant, latest figures show. More purpose-built student accommodation has been heralded as the answer to an increasing demand for rental stock.

The number of first-time buyers in England has now fallen to 200,000 per year, a staggering drop from 600,000 in 1999 according to Jones Lang La Salle.

Although rewards are strong for landlords investing in the buy-to-let market across the country, LSL confirmed in their buy-to-let index for April 2013 that rewards were in fact the strongest in the North West, where yields were highest.

The index documents that the North West produced yields of 7.2 per cent, topping London’s 5 per cent.

The average North West rent was £568, outshining the average rents of near counterparts Yorkshire and the North-East.

Article Source: http://www.lep.co.uk/news/business/region-s-buy-to-let-property-boom-will-last-1-5976941

How Slashing Stamp Duty will Help Young Homebuyers

This article was published on August 8, 2013 on Home & Property. According to Naomi Heaton slashing stamp duty is the best way to get young Londoners into their first home.

As Scottish ministers finally do away with stamp duty and a consultation begins in Wales to do the same thing, it is high time the Tories also kept to their election promise and made changes to Britain's most-hated tax.

A crisis looms as the average price of property in England and Wales rapidly approaches the £250,000 mark — the point when stamp duty triples from one per cent to three per cent of the purchase price. This increase could see 80,000 people a year falling into this higher tax bracket, facing a huge £7,500 tax bill, rather than a somewhat more affordable £2,500.

It is ironic that it was a Scotsman who first introduced the crippling £250,000 stamp duty tax threshold. Before Gordon Brown took the job as chancellor, stamp duty was set at a flat rate of one per cent for all properties sold over £60,000. In 1997, however, Brown introduced the notion of stepped stamp duty tax bands, bringing in a new threshold of 1.5 per cent at £250,001. He then raised the charge by half of one per cent every year until 2000, when it reached three per cent. It has stuck at that level ever since.

In the apparent interest of "fair taxation" — but more as a desperate attempt to plug the public finance deficit — recent years have brought additional thresholds at £500,000, £1 million and £2 million. No move, though, has been made to raise the level at which the three per cent tax hit kicks in, despite average house prices rising over threefold from £72,900 to £239,296 since 1997.

Stamp duty was a tax introduced to generate revenue from the wealthiest of buyers. According to Nationwide, a house worth £250,000 in 1997 would be equivalent to £716,000 today. One could say it was the "mansion tax" of the Nineties but what equated to riches then is no longer the case in 2013.

Having dragged more and more ordinary buyers into its grips, stamp duty will soon be an "everyman" tax: just another way for the Treasury to dip into our pockets.

Now first-time buyers are being frozen out
Across the country, 26 per cent of buyers now pay more than £250,000 for their property and in London it is 62 per cent. For people who have already paid income tax, stumping up another £5,000 of stamp duty for their family home is not only a double whammy but equivalent to another 10 per cent on top of their deposit.

Transactions have dropped 32 per cent since 1997 and the fall-out, should the band not be reassessed, could be even more devastating. Not surprisingly, potential buyers are reluctant to pay three per cent stamp duty on properties above £250,000. Not only is this a barrier to trading up but owners of properties above £250,000 are then unable to sell, or only at a reduced price, which means they cannot trade up either. This freezes the market and prevents first-time buyers from getting a look-in.
 
As "stamp duty Doomsday" beckons, and with average prices within a hair's breadth of £250,000, the present Chancellor must move quickly to reassess the tax banding. While the Government's much-trumpeted Help to Buy stimulus package has begun to unlock the market, this can only be good news if the one per cent stamp duty trigger is also raised.

Re-evaluating the threshold will give buyers a much-needed boost, allowing home owners to trade up and first-time buyers to begin climbing the ladder. Even the Treasury can make some money. For every purchase that does not happen because of the £250,000 barrier, the Government earns three per cent of nothing. For every property sale that would go through, due to a kinder stamp duty regime, the Government would earn one per cent of something: a win-win situation which would make a real difference.

A government keen to trumpet "fair taxation" should question how this tax can possibly bring fairness to a nation of aspiring homeowners, and take heed of the TaxPayers' Alliance Stamp Out Stamp Duty campaign.

Naomi Heaton is chief executive of London Central Portfolio, residential experts and fund managers (londoncentralportfolio.com).

Article Source: http://www.homesandproperty.co.uk/property_news/news/stampdutycrisishigherrates.html